Strategy Zoo / S0936

PriceMomentum_V0936

ARCHIVEDhybrid

crossoverlogic of PriceMomentum_V0624 with risk overlay of LongTermTrend_V0521

Fitness
0.7198
Generation
43
Complexity
20
Created
2026-09-30

Lineage

Parents (2)
LongTermTrend_V0521S0521 · gen 24ARCHIVEDcrossover

entry = LongTermTrend_V0469 OR MACDMomentum_V0272

PriceMomentum_V0624S0624 · gen 29ARCHIVEDcrossover

entry = PriceMomentum_V0602 OR LongTermTrend_V0519

Children (10)
MACDMomentum_V0982S0982 · gen 45ARCHIVEDcrossover
PriceMomentum_V1032S1032 · gen 47ARCHIVEDllm
PriceMomentum_V1033S1033 · gen 47ARCHIVEDllm
PriceMomentum_V1109S1109 · gen 51ARCHIVEDcrossover
PriceMomentum_V1129S1129 · gen 51ARCHIVEDparameter
PriceMomentum_V1130S1130 · gen 51ARCHIVEDstructural
PriceMomentum_V1206S1206 · gen 55ARCHIVEDstructural
PriceMomentum_V1214S1214 · gen 56ARCHIVEDcrossover
PriceMomentum_V1238S1238 · gen 57ARCHIVEDcrossover
LongTermTrend_V1278S1278 · gen 59ARCHIVEDcrossover

Strategy Logic (pseudocode)

# PriceMomentum_V0936  [hybrid]
if flat and ((((close > sma_200 and sma_200_slope > 0.0) or ret_20d > 0.0923) and ret_20d > 0.05 and cumret_252d > -0.1997) or ((((close > sma_200 and sma_200_slope > 0.0) or ret_20d > 0.1) and ret_20d > 0.05 and cumret_252d > -0.1997) and ret_20d > 0.05)):
    position = 1.0
if long and ret_20d < -0.006:
    position = 0.0  # exit to cash

Backtest Metrics

MetricTrainValidationHidden TestFull
CAGR27.6%130.9%11.2%39.4%
Total Return599.9%1131.6%48.4%13072.7%
Sharpe0.901.920.491.08
Sortino0.962.090.441.10
Calmar0.453.880.320.64
Volatility32.9%50.3%33.5%37.3%
Max DD-61.1%-33.7%-35.5%-61.1%
Win Rate40.5%66.7%31.6%43.7%
Avg Win25.6%39.4%22.2%33.2%
Avg Loss-6.1%-8.3%-5.4%-6.1%
Payoff4.234.764.125.43
Expectancy6.8%23.5%3.3%11.1%
Profit Factor2.889.521.904.21
Trades37151971
Avg Holding Days24.128.718.624.3
Turnover9.410.010.59.7
Exposure44.9%55.0%38.5%45.4%

Growth of $100

PriceMomentum_V0936 vs TSLA Buy & Hold
PriceMomentum_V0936 TSLA Buy & HoldIn-sampleValidationHidden test
Growth of $100 · log scale · in-sample, validation and hidden-test segments are shaded separately and must not be compared as one out-of-sample track record.

Walk-Forward Years

year-by-year stability matters more than any single year
YearCAGRSharpeMax DDTrades
201611.0%0.61-23.1%3
20170.2%0.14-29.8%7
2018-32.1%-1.29-35.1%8
201945.9%1.36-21.9%2
2020541.3%2.93-33.7%6
202184.9%1.85-17.6%5
2022-0.4%0.13-21.5%4

A robust strategy performs acceptably in most years rather than spectacularly in one — look for consistency across regimes, not a single outlier year.

Regime Performance

PeriodRegimeDaysAnn. ReturnSharpeExposure
hidden testDOWNTREND274-31.8%-1.4523%
hidden testEXPENSIVE8362.6%1.3867%
hidden testEXTREME48183.9%3.2767%
hidden testHIGH VOLATILITY254-3.5%-0.0837%
hidden testLOW VOLATILITY43454.9%2.1738%
hidden testMEDIUM VOLATILITY250-30.8%-0.8740%
hidden testNORMAL8071.5%0.0534%
hidden testSIDEWAYS2936.1%0.2433%
hidden testUPTREND37159.7%1.3654%
trainDOWNTREND5185.2%0.4013%
trainEXPENSIVE31153.6%1.3773%
trainEXTREME100403.3%5.4797%
trainHIGH VOLATILITY69952.9%1.2440%
trainLOW VOLATILITY74537.8%1.5854%
trainMEDIUM VOLATILITY568-9.5%-0.3339%
trainNORMAL1,6011.7%0.0636%
trainSIDEWAYS592-13.8%-0.5238%
trainUPTREND90272.2%1.6968%
validationDOWNTREND12545.2%2.0812%
validationEXPENSIVE13867.5%1.2560%
validationEXTREME144347.4%4.1793%
validationHIGH VOLATILITY25899.9%1.4751%
validationLOW VOLATILITY18353.1%2.1060%
validationMEDIUM VOLATILITY315118.7%2.6956%
validationNORMAL47428.6%0.9042%
validationSIDEWAYS2069.6%0.3142%
validationUPTREND425153.6%2.4774%

Trades (full period)

72 trades
EntryExitEntry PxExit PxReturnDays
2026-08-24—$348.95—-2.86%26OPEN
2026-05-052026-06-08$389.37$408.95-0.58%24
2026-04-202026-04-24$392.50$376.30-6.90%5
2025-12-152026-01-05$475.31$451.67-4.74%14
2025-11-032025-11-13$468.37$401.99-5.87%9
2025-10-242025-10-27$433.72$452.42-3.60%2
2025-08-252025-10-23$346.60$448.9828.85%43
2025-08-112025-08-20$339.03$323.90-0.30%8
2025-05-062025-06-12$275.35$319.1116.24%27
2025-04-302025-05-02$282.16$287.21-4.14%3
2025-04-102025-04-22$252.40$237.97-16.60%8
2024-11-072025-01-13$296.91$403.3136.54%44
2024-09-052024-10-14$230.17$219.16-0.93%28
2024-06-272024-08-02$197.42$207.6710.21%26
2024-05-152024-05-29$173.99$176.19-0.65%10
2024-04-302024-05-10$183.28$168.47-11.56%9
2023-11-172024-01-08$234.30$240.451.47%34
2023-09-122023-09-28$267.48$246.38-12.27%13
2023-07-262023-08-02$264.35$254.11-1.78%6
2023-05-242023-07-24$182.90$269.0639.69%41
2022-07-142022-08-29$238.31$284.8221.29%33
2022-06-242022-06-29$245.71$228.49-1.22%4
2022-03-222022-04-21$331.33$336.265.88%22
2022-01-042022-01-24$383.20$310.00-21.49%14
2021-08-042021-12-01$236.97$365.0060.97%84
2021-06-142021-07-23$205.90$214.466.24%29
2021-04-142021-05-04$244.08$224.53-10.34%15
2021-04-052021-04-12$230.35$233.992.11%6
2020-11-192021-02-09$166.42$283.1577.07%55
2020-10-222020-10-29$141.93$136.94-4.12%6
2020-10-162020-10-20$146.56$140.65-4.21%3
2020-10-072020-10-14$141.77$153.777.68%6
2020-08-142020-09-24$110.05$129.2617.09%29
2020-04-142020-08-10$47.33$94.57122.74%83
2019-10-232020-03-04$16.98$49.97191.11%91
2019-09-132019-10-10$16.35$16.32-0.74%20
2019-07-162019-08-06$16.83$15.38-10.11%16
2018-10-292018-12-19$22.32$22.201.65%36
2018-08-272018-08-31$21.28$20.11-6.28%5
2018-08-032018-08-20$23.21$20.56-12.77%12
2018-06-122018-07-06$22.85$20.59-7.09%18
2018-04-272018-05-04$19.61$19.61-0.56%6
2018-03-132018-03-19$22.79$20.90-7.18%5
2018-01-222018-02-07$23.44$23.00-4.78%13
2018-01-092018-01-12$22.25$22.410.26%4
2017-12-122017-12-28$22.74$21.02-5.44%12
2017-09-182017-09-26$25.67$23.02-9.35%7
2017-08-252017-09-06$23.20$22.97-1.15%8
2017-08-042017-08-22$23.79$22.76-2.85%13
2017-06-012017-07-06$22.69$20.59-4.27%25
2017-03-282017-05-24$18.50$20.6812.23%41
2016-12-202017-02-28$13.92$16.6721.22%47
2016-07-222016-08-17$14.82$14.881.21%19
2016-06-082016-06-23$15.70$13.09-15.52%12
2016-03-042016-05-03$13.40$15.4923.29%42
2015-11-302015-12-29$15.35$15.81-1.35%21
2015-09-222015-09-30$17.40$16.56-6.83%7
2015-08-062015-08-07$16.41$16.17-9.08%2
2015-04-132015-07-27$13.99$16.8725.59%74
2014-11-112014-12-02$16.74$15.43-4.44%15
2014-08-052014-09-16$15.90$17.386.22%30
2014-06-092014-07-16$13.69$14.485.27%27
2014-05-282014-06-03$14.02$13.66-3.44%5
2014-01-152014-03-26$10.94$14.2036.42%49
2013-12-132014-01-14$9.84$10.75-5.70%21
2013-07-012013-10-22$7.81$11.4460.46%80
2013-03-262013-06-26$2.52$7.05172.31%65
2013-01-282013-02-22$2.54$2.41-5.11%19
2012-11-062012-12-31$2.08$2.265.25%38
2012-08-242012-09-06$1.97$1.90-9.26%9
2012-06-192012-07-20$2.14$2.121.15%23
2012-02-022012-04-10$2.02$2.1611.85%47