Market Regimes
Daily regime classification of TSLA · 2010-06-29 → 2026-10-15
Current Regime
DOWNTRENDMEDIUM VOLATILITYNORMAL
close —
since 2026-10-15 · confidence 75%
TSLA Price by Trend Regime
1026 sampled points
TSLA close (log scale)UPTRENDDOWNTRENDSIDEWAYS
Recent Regime Transitions
| Date | Trend | Volatility | Bubble | Close | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-15 | DOWNTREND | MEDIUM VOLATILITY | NORMAL | — | 75% |
| 2026-10-06 | SIDEWAYS | LOW VOLATILITY | NORMAL | $380.68 | 82% |
| 2026-09-29 | DOWNTREND | LOW VOLATILITY | NORMAL | $352.84 | 77% |
| 2026-09-28 | DOWNTREND | MEDIUM VOLATILITY | NORMAL | $357.45 | 66% |
| 2026-09-22 | DOWNTREND | LOW VOLATILITY | NORMAL | $378.90 | 70% |
| 2026-09-04 | DOWNTREND | MEDIUM VOLATILITY | NORMAL | $354.08 | 53% |
| 2026-08-20 | DOWNTREND | LOW VOLATILITY | NORMAL | $345.13 | 94% |
| 2026-08-07 | DOWNTREND | HIGH VOLATILITY | NORMAL | $328.58 | 69% |
| 2026-08-06 | DOWNTREND | MEDIUM VOLATILITY | NORMAL | $319.53 | 66% |
| 2026-07-23 | DOWNTREND | HIGH VOLATILITY | NORMAL | $319.69 | 85% |
| 2026-07-22 | DOWNTREND | MEDIUM VOLATILITY | NORMAL | $374.01 | 63% |
| 2026-07-20 | SIDEWAYS | HIGH VOLATILITY | NORMAL | $369.57 | 51% |
| 2026-07-13 | SIDEWAYS | MEDIUM VOLATILITY | NORMAL | $394.76 | 50% |
| 2026-07-07 | SIDEWAYS | HIGH VOLATILITY | NORMAL | $402.90 | 56% |
| 2026-07-06 | UPTREND | HIGH VOLATILITY | NORMAL | $419.77 | 59% |
Regime Performance Matrix
annualized return by regime · validation (fallback: train)
| Strategy | UPTREND | DOWNTREND | SIDEWAYS | LOW VOL | MEDIUM VOL | HIGH VOL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PriceMomentum_V1553ELITE | 129% | 44% | 12% | 53% | 121% | 58% |
LongTermTrend_V1516ELITE | 130% | 46% | 6% | 48% | 123% | 57% |
LongTermTrend_V1674ELITE | 130% | 46% | 6% | 48% | 123% | 57% |
PriceMomentum_V1554ELITE | 102% | 36% | 8% | 54% | 87% | 47% |
PriceMomentum_V1555ELITE | 102% | 36% | 8% | 54% | 87% | 47% |
PriceMomentum_V1608ELITE | 126% | 44% | -11% | 35% | 120% | 50% |
LongTermTrend_V1421ELITE | 153% | 0% | 12% | 8% | 93% | 143% |
LongTermTrend_V1083ELITE | 126% | 35% | 20% | 26% | 112% | 85% |
PriceMomentum_V0690ELITE | 132% | 46% | 11% | 58% | 123% | 57% |
PriceMomentum_V1277ELITE | 126% | 35% | 20% | 26% | 112% | 85% |
PriceMomentum_V1439ELITE | 126% | 35% | 20% | 26% | 112% | 85% |
LongTermTrend_V1513ELITE | 153% | 0% | 12% | 8% | 93% | 143% |
Top 12 active strategies (ELITE + SURVIVED) by fitness. Cell color intensity reflects the magnitude of annualized return in that regime.