Strategy Zoo / S1582

LongTermTrend_V1582

REJECTEDhybrid

llmRemoved duplicate 20d-return checks; tightened entry to require price above 50- and 200-day SMAs + positive 200-day slope; added moderate momentum filter (ret_20d>3%) and volatility/value gates (vol_pctile<0.7, dist_52w_high<0.6); restricted regime to UPTREND & not-high-volatility & NORMAL bubble; improved exits (20d loss, break below sma_50, or drawdown stop); reduced base position to 0.8 to lower risk. | rejected: stage1: sharpe -0.62 below screen

Fitness
—
Generation
73
Complexity
15
Created
2026-10-14

Lineage

Parents (1)
LongTermTrend_V1402S1402 · gen 64ELITEllm

changed ret_20d threshold 0.1 -> 0.0257

Children (0)
None

Strategy Logic (pseudocode)

# LongTermTrend_V1582  [hybrid]
require regime.trend in ['UPTREND']
require regime.volatility in ['LOW_VOLATILITY', 'MEDIUM_VOLATILITY']
require regime.bubble in ['NORMAL']
if flat and ((close > sma_50 and close > sma_200) and sma_200_slope > 0.0 and ret_20d > 0.03 and vol_pctile < 0.7 and dist_52w_high < 0.6):
    position = 0.8
if long and (ret_20d < -0.08 or close < sma_50 or drawdown < -0.12):
    position = 0.0  # exit to cash

Backtest Metrics

MetricTrainValidationHidden TestFull
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Sharpe————
Sortino————
Calmar————
Volatility————
Max DD————
Win Rate————
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Walk-Forward Years

year-by-year stability matters more than any single year
YearCAGRSharpeMax DDTrades
No walk-forward results

A robust strategy performs acceptably in most years rather than spectacularly in one — look for consistency across regimes, not a single outlier year.

Regime Performance

PeriodRegimeDaysAnn. ReturnSharpeExposure
No regime results

Trades (full period)

0 trades
EntryExitEntry PxExit PxReturnDays
No trades recorded