Strategy Zoo / S1531

LongTermTrend_V1531

REJECTEDhybrid

parameterchanged macd_hist threshold 0.0 -> -2.4969; changed cumret_252d threshold -0.1997 -> -0.5172 | rejected: stage1: sharpe 0.69 below screen

Fitness
—
Generation
70
Complexity
27
Created
2026-10-13

Lineage

Parents (1)
LongTermTrend_V1201S1201 · gen 55ARCHIVEDparameter

changed macd_hist threshold 0.0 -> 1.0705; changed dist_sma_50 threshold -0.0774 -> -0.1429

Children (0)
None

Strategy Logic (pseudocode)

# LongTermTrend_V1531  [hybrid]
if flat and (((((close > sma_200 and sma_200_slope > -0.0024) or ret_20d > 0.085) and ret_20d > 0.05 and cumret_252d > -0.5172 and dist_sma_50 > -0.1429) or ((macd_hist > 0.0 and close > sma_50) or ((breakout_50 == 1 and rel_volume > 1.5045) or ((macd_hist > 1.0705 and close > sma_50) and sma_50 > sma_200)))) and sma_20 < close and macd_hist > -2.6055):
    position = 1.0
if long and macd_hist < -2.4969:
    position = 0.0  # exit to cash

Backtest Metrics

MetricTrainValidationHidden TestFull
CAGR————
Total Return————
Sharpe————
Sortino————
Calmar————
Volatility————
Max DD————
Win Rate————
Avg Win————
Avg Loss————
Payoff————
Expectancy————
Profit Factor————
Trades————
Avg Holding Days————
Turnover————
Exposure————

Walk-Forward Years

year-by-year stability matters more than any single year
YearCAGRSharpeMax DDTrades
No walk-forward results

A robust strategy performs acceptably in most years rather than spectacularly in one — look for consistency across regimes, not a single outlier year.

Regime Performance

PeriodRegimeDaysAnn. ReturnSharpeExposure
No regime results

Trades (full period)

0 trades
EntryExitEntry PxExit PxReturnDays
No trades recorded