PriceMomentum_V1349
REJECTEDhybridllm1) Added momentum/trend alignment filter (sma_50_slope>0 or short-term momentum) so entries occur only when price momentum aligns with signals. 2) Relaxed bubble gate (allow all bubble regimes) to avoid no-trade validation periods. 3) Replaced hard stop with a multi-condition exit: earlier stoploss (ret_20d<-12%), plus MACD histogram negative and RSI>75 to cut losses/overbought winners. 4) Introduced volatility-based position sizing (vol_pctile tiers) to reduce size in high vol, increase in low vol. 5) Lowered base position to 0.8 to reduce leverage/exposure. | rejected: stage1: sharpe -0.68 below screen
Lineage
changed ret_20d threshold -0.006 -> -0.1496
Strategy Logic (pseudocode)
# PriceMomentum_V1349 [hybrid]
require regime.trend in ['UPTREND']
if flat and ((ret_20d > 0.05 or (breakout_20 == 1 and dist_sma_20 > -0.121 and vol_chg < 1.2007)) and (sma_50_slope > 0.0 or ret_5d > 0.0 or macd_hist > 0.0)):
position = 0.8
if long and (ret_20d < -0.12 or macd_hist < 0.0 or rsi_14 > 75.0):
position = 0.0 # exit to cashBacktest Metrics
| Metric | Train | Validation | Hidden Test | Full |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAGR | — | — | — | — |
| Total Return | — | — | — | — |
| Sharpe | — | — | — | — |
| Sortino | — | — | — | — |
| Calmar | — | — | — | — |
| Volatility | — | — | — | — |
| Max DD | — | — | — | — |
| Win Rate | — | — | — | — |
| Avg Win | — | — | — | — |
| Avg Loss | — | — | — | — |
| Payoff | — | — | — | — |
| Expectancy | — | — | — | — |
| Profit Factor | — | — | — | — |
| Trades | — | — | — | — |
| Avg Holding Days | — | — | — | — |
| Turnover | — | — | — | — |
| Exposure | — | — | — | — |
Walk-Forward Years
| Year | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Trades |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No walk-forward results | ||||
A robust strategy performs acceptably in most years rather than spectacularly in one — look for consistency across regimes, not a single outlier year.
Regime Performance
| Period | Regime | Days | Ann. Return | Sharpe | Exposure |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No regime results | |||||
Trades (full period)
| Entry | Exit | Entry Px | Exit Px | Return | Days | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No trades recorded | ||||||