Strategy Zoo / S0890
PriceMomentum_V0890
ARCHIVEDhybridparameterchanged ret_20d threshold -0.006 -> 0.077
Fitness
0.6386
Generation
40
Complexity
25
Created
2026-09-29
Lineage
Parents (1)
changed cumret_252d threshold -0.1997 -> -0.3135
Children (0)
None
Strategy Logic (pseudocode)
# PriceMomentum_V0890 [hybrid]
require regime.trend in ['DOWNTREND', 'UPTREND']
if flat and (((ret_20d > 0.05 and rel_volume > 1.2635) or (((close > sma_200 and sma_200_slope > -0.0024) or ret_20d > 0.085) and ret_20d > 0.05 and cumret_252d > -0.3135)) or ((((close > sma_200 and sma_200_slope > 0.0) or ret_20d > 0.1) and ret_20d > 0.05 and cumret_252d > -0.1997) and ret_1d > 0.0336)):
position = 1.0
if long and ret_20d < 0.077:
position = 0.0 # exit to cashBacktest Metrics
| Metric | Train | Validation | Hidden Test | Full |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAGR | 22.3% | 84.7% | 18.1% | 32.1% |
| Total Return | 399.0% | 530.2% | 85.7% | 5911.1% |
| Sharpe | 0.89 | 1.57 | 0.72 | 1.03 |
| Sortino | 0.81 | 1.49 | 0.51 | 0.87 |
| Calmar | 0.56 | 2.18 | 0.42 | 0.74 |
| Volatility | 26.3% | 45.8% | 28.7% | 31.8% |
| Max DD | -40.1% | -38.9% | -43.2% | -43.2% |
| Win Rate | 45.3% | 45.0% | 45.7% | 45.3% |
| Avg Win | 8.9% | 17.9% | 9.1% | 11.4% |
| Avg Loss | -2.8% | -3.4% | -3.6% | -3.1% |
| Payoff | 3.17 | 5.35 | 2.54 | 3.68 |
| Expectancy | 2.5% | 6.2% | 2.2% | 3.5% |
| Profit Factor | 2.63 | 4.38 | 2.14 | 3.05 |
| Trades | 86 | 40 | 35 | 161 |
| Avg Holding Days | 7.2 | 8.1 | 7.1 | 7.4 |
| Turnover | 21.7 | 26.7 | 18.8 | 21.9 |
| Exposure | 26.8% | 37.3% | 22.6% | 27.9% |
Growth of $100
PriceMomentum_V0890 vs TSLA Buy & Hold
PriceMomentum_V0890 TSLA Buy & HoldIn-sampleValidationHidden test
Growth of $100 · log scale · in-sample, validation and hidden-test segments are shaded separately and must not be compared as one out-of-sample track record.
Walk-Forward Years
year-by-year stability matters more than any single year
| Year | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Trades |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 24.8% | 1.76 | -11.2% | 10 |
| 2017 | 32.3% | 1.51 | -13.5% | 9 |
| 2018 | -29.3% | -2.14 | -30.2% | 12 |
| 2019 | 23.1% | 1.30 | -8.5% | 7 |
| 2020 | 543.6% | 3.05 | -33.7% | 12 |
| 2021 | 39.4% | 1.21 | -17.6% | 15 |
| 2022 | -32.7% | -1.90 | -32.6% | 13 |
A robust strategy performs acceptably in most years rather than spectacularly in one — look for consistency across regimes, not a single outlier year.
Regime Performance
| Period | Regime | Days | Ann. Return | Sharpe | Exposure |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| hidden test | DOWNTREND | 273 | -2.0% | -0.09 | 19% |
| hidden test | EXPENSIVE | 83 | 35.5% | 0.88 | 47% |
| hidden test | EXTREME | 48 | 183.4% | 3.26 | 63% |
| hidden test | HIGH VOLATILITY | 254 | -20.7% | -0.51 | 31% |
| hidden test | LOW VOLATILITY | 433 | 48.8% | 2.44 | 19% |
| hidden test | MEDIUM VOLATILITY | 250 | 14.3% | 0.53 | 20% |
| hidden test | NORMAL | 806 | 9.6% | 0.39 | 18% |
| hidden test | SIDEWAYS | 293 | -5.2% | -0.36 | 2% |
| hidden test | UPTREND | 371 | 58.1% | 1.49 | 41% |
| train | DOWNTREND | 518 | 11.3% | 1.38 | 9% |
| train | EXPENSIVE | 311 | 41.3% | 1.22 | 55% |
| train | EXTREME | 100 | 366.0% | 5.05 | 94% |
| train | HIGH VOLATILITY | 699 | 45.9% | 1.28 | 28% |
| train | LOW VOLATILITY | 745 | 17.6% | 0.95 | 32% |
| train | MEDIUM VOLATILITY | 568 | 3.7% | 0.18 | 18% |
| train | NORMAL | 1,601 | -1.4% | -0.08 | 17% |
| train | SIDEWAYS | 592 | -1.7% | -0.20 | 3% |
| train | UPTREND | 902 | 47.0% | 1.23 | 53% |
| validation | DOWNTREND | 125 | 20.3% | 1.62 | 10% |
| validation | EXPENSIVE | 138 | 92.1% | 1.78 | 55% |
| validation | EXTREME | 144 | 317.7% | 3.99 | 81% |
| validation | HIGH VOLATILITY | 258 | 95.4% | 1.49 | 42% |
| validation | LOW VOLATILITY | 183 | 11.0% | 0.60 | 26% |
| validation | MEDIUM VOLATILITY | 315 | 88.0% | 2.27 | 40% |
| validation | NORMAL | 474 | -8.7% | -0.37 | 19% |
| validation | SIDEWAYS | 206 | -10.7% | -1.10 | 2% |
| validation | UPTREND | 425 | 127.0% | 2.11 | 62% |
Trades (full period)
latest 100 of 161
| Entry | Exit | Entry Px | Exit Px | Return | Days | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-23 | 2026-09-28 | $380.12 | $357.45 | -1.99% | 4 | |
| 2026-09-21 | 2026-09-22 | $375.30 | $378.90 | 2.83% | 2 | |
| 2026-08-24 | 2026-09-14 | $348.95 | $358.97 | 0.51% | 15 | |
| 2026-05-29 | 2026-06-01 | $435.79 | $415.88 | -1.63% | 2 | |
| 2026-05-05 | 2026-05-08 | $389.37 | $428.35 | 4.70% | 4 | |
| 2025-12-31 | 2026-01-02 | $449.72 | $438.07 | -1.24% | 2 | |
| 2025-12-15 | 2025-12-30 | $475.31 | $454.43 | -0.05% | 11 | |
| 2025-11-06 | 2025-11-07 | $445.91 | $429.52 | -3.69% | 2 | |
| 2025-11-03 | 2025-11-04 | $468.37 | $444.26 | 2.38% | 2 | |
| 2025-10-24 | 2025-10-27 | $433.72 | $452.42 | -3.60% | 2 | |
| 2025-10-14 | 2025-10-15 | $429.24 | $435.15 | -1.73% | 2 | |
| 2025-09-12 | 2025-10-13 | $395.94 | $435.90 | 11.90% | 22 | |
| 2025-09-04 | 2025-09-05 | $338.53 | $350.84 | 1.13% | 2 | |
| 2025-05-22 | 2025-06-06 | $341.04 | $295.14 | -15.09% | 11 | |
| 2025-05-06 | 2025-05-09 | $275.35 | $298.26 | 1.42% | 4 | |
| 2025-04-30 | 2025-05-01 | $282.16 | $280.52 | -3.58% | 2 | |
| 2025-04-16 | 2025-04-17 | $241.55 | $241.37 | -5.14% | 2 | |
| 2025-04-10 | 2025-04-11 | $252.40 | $252.31 | -7.47% | 2 | |
| 2025-04-08 | 2025-04-09 | $221.86 | $272.20 | -5.09% | 2 | |
| 2024-11-07 | 2025-01-08 | $296.91 | $394.94 | 36.41% | 42 | |
| 2024-10-07 | 2024-10-10 | $240.83 | $238.77 | -3.81% | 4 | |
| 2024-10-03 | 2024-10-04 | $240.66 | $250.08 | -3.55% | 2 | |
| 2024-09-20 | 2024-09-27 | $238.25 | $260.46 | 4.01% | 6 | |
| 2024-09-10 | 2024-09-16 | $226.17 | $226.78 | 6.27% | 5 | |
| 2024-09-04 | 2024-09-09 | $219.41 | $216.27 | -0.13% | 4 | |
| 2024-07-02 | 2024-07-31 | $231.26 | $232.07 | 5.88% | 21 | |
| 2024-05-15 | 2024-05-24 | $173.99 | $179.24 | -2.34% | 8 | |
| 2024-05-06 | 2024-05-07 | $184.76 | $177.81 | 1.77% | 2 | |
| 2024-04-30 | 2024-05-02 | $183.28 | $180.01 | -7.44% | 3 | |
| 2024-02-27 | 2024-02-28 | $199.73 | $202.04 | -0.03% | 2 | |
| 2023-07-26 | 2023-07-27 | $264.35 | $255.71 | -0.55% | 2 | |
| 2023-07-17 | 2023-07-20 | $290.38 | $262.90 | 3.31% | 4 | |
| 2023-06-02 | 2023-07-14 | $213.97 | $281.38 | 33.65% | 29 | |
| 2023-05-19 | 2023-05-31 | $180.14 | $203.93 | 13.50% | 8 | |
| 2023-01-30 | 2023-02-10 | $166.66 | $196.89 | 16.30% | 10 | |
| 2022-09-21 | 2022-09-22 | $300.80 | $288.59 | -2.77% | 2 | |
| 2022-08-16 | 2022-08-22 | $306.56 | $289.91 | -4.28% | 5 | |
| 2022-08-05 | 2022-08-08 | $288.17 | $290.42 | -6.82% | 2 | |
| 2022-07-28 | 2022-08-02 | $280.90 | $300.59 | 7.96% | 4 | |
| 2022-07-22 | 2022-07-27 | $272.24 | $274.82 | -4.92% | 4 | |
| 2022-07-19 | 2022-07-21 | $245.53 | $271.71 | 2.69% | 3 | |
| 2022-07-14 | 2022-07-18 | $238.31 | $240.55 | 1.07% | 3 | |
| 2022-06-24 | 2022-06-28 | $245.71 | $232.66 | 3.99% | 3 | |
| 2022-06-22 | 2022-06-23 | $236.09 | $235.07 | -0.60% | 2 | |
| 2022-04-05 | 2022-04-21 | $363.75 | $336.26 | -14.86% | 12 | |
| 2022-01-18 | 2022-01-20 | $343.50 | $332.09 | -5.33% | 3 | |
| 2022-01-12 | 2022-01-14 | $368.74 | $349.87 | -3.28% | 3 | |
| 2022-01-04 | 2022-01-06 | $383.20 | $354.90 | -9.49% | 3 | |
| 2021-10-15 | 2021-11-26 | $281.01 | $360.64 | 36.11% | 30 | |
| 2021-10-12 | 2021-10-14 | $268.57 | $272.77 | 2.21% | 3 | |
| 2021-10-08 | 2021-10-11 | $261.83 | $263.98 | -1.22% | 2 | |
| 2021-10-04 | 2021-10-05 | $260.51 | $260.20 | 0.61% | 2 | |
| 2021-09-30 | 2021-10-01 | $258.49 | $258.41 | -0.95% | 2 | |
| 2021-09-27 | 2021-09-29 | $263.79 | $260.44 | 0.21% | 3 | |
| 2021-09-23 | 2021-09-24 | $251.21 | $258.13 | 0.03% | 2 | |
| 2021-09-15 | 2021-09-21 | $251.94 | $246.46 | -2.12% | 5 | |
| 2021-09-10 | 2021-09-13 | $245.42 | $247.67 | -2.66% | 2 | |
| 2021-09-08 | 2021-09-09 | $251.29 | $251.62 | -0.07% | 2 | |
| 2021-08-24 | 2021-08-27 | $236.16 | $237.31 | -0.93% | 4 | |
| 2021-08-19 | 2021-08-20 | $224.49 | $226.75 | -2.45% | 2 | |
| 2021-08-11 | 2021-08-17 | $235.94 | $221.90 | -3.55% | 5 | |
| 2021-08-05 | 2021-08-09 | $238.21 | $237.92 | -1.86% | 3 | |
| 2020-11-19 | 2021-02-08 | $166.42 | $287.81 | 74.78% | 54 | |
| 2020-10-22 | 2020-10-26 | $141.93 | $140.09 | -0.67% | 3 | |
| 2020-10-16 | 2020-10-19 | $146.56 | $143.61 | -2.25% | 2 | |
| 2020-10-07 | 2020-10-13 | $141.77 | $148.88 | 6.63% | 5 | |
| 2020-08-14 | 2020-09-23 | $110.05 | $126.79 | 30.60% | 28 | |
| 2020-08-06 | 2020-08-07 | $99.31 | $96.85 | 0.11% | 2 | |
| 2020-06-01 | 2020-08-05 | $59.87 | $99.00 | 77.74% | 47 | |
| 2020-05-28 | 2020-05-29 | $53.72 | $55.67 | -1.96% | 2 | |
| 2020-05-19 | 2020-05-27 | $53.87 | $54.68 | 0.44% | 6 | |
| 2020-05-15 | 2020-05-18 | $53.28 | $54.24 | -0.72% | 2 | |
| 2020-04-14 | 2020-04-30 | $47.33 | $52.13 | 22.74% | 13 | |
| 2020-03-03 | 2020-03-04 | $49.70 | $49.97 | 0.05% | 2 | |
| 2019-12-17 | 2020-03-02 | $25.27 | $49.57 | 74.74% | 51 | |
| 2019-12-03 | 2019-12-04 | $22.41 | $22.20 | 0.20% | 2 | |
| 2019-11-29 | 2019-12-02 | $22.00 | $22.32 | -0.61% | 2 | |
| 2019-10-25 | 2019-11-25 | $21.88 | $22.42 | 10.92% | 22 | |
| 2019-10-21 | 2019-10-22 | $16.90 | $17.04 | -1.54% | 2 | |
| 2019-10-02 | 2019-10-04 | $16.21 | $15.43 | -4.96% | 3 | |
| 2019-09-27 | 2019-10-01 | $16.14 | $16.31 | -0.90% | 3 | |
| 2019-07-05 | 2019-07-22 | $15.54 | $17.05 | 9.69% | 12 | |
| 2018-12-13 | 2018-12-17 | $25.12 | $23.23 | -0.44% | 3 | |
| 2018-12-06 | 2018-12-07 | $24.20 | $23.86 | 0.73% | 2 | |
| 2018-11-29 | 2018-11-30 | $22.74 | $23.37 | -2.12% | 2 | |
| 2018-11-19 | 2018-11-20 | $23.56 | $23.17 | -0.44% | 2 | |
| 2018-08-27 | 2018-08-28 | $21.28 | $20.79 | -1.30% | 2 | |
| 2018-08-22 | 2018-08-23 | $21.44 | $21.34 | -0.28% | 2 | |
| 2018-08-08 | 2018-08-16 | $24.69 | $22.36 | -10.95% | 7 | |
| 2018-08-03 | 2018-08-07 | $23.21 | $25.30 | -2.36% | 3 | |
| 2018-06-15 | 2018-07-05 | $23.88 | $20.61 | -13.27% | 14 | |
| 2018-06-07 | 2018-06-08 | $21.07 | $21.18 | -1.27% | 2 | |
| 2018-04-27 | 2018-05-03 | $19.61 | $18.96 | 5.28% | 5 | |
| 2018-02-01 | 2018-02-06 | $23.28 | $22.26 | -6.17% | 4 | |
| 2017-09-18 | 2017-09-22 | $25.67 | $23.41 | -3.70% | 5 | |
| 2017-08-21 | 2017-08-22 | $22.52 | $22.76 | -2.96% | 2 | |
| 2017-08-04 | 2017-08-18 | $23.79 | $23.16 | 1.19% | 11 | |
| 2017-07-03 | 2017-07-05 | $23.51 | $21.81 | -2.68% | 2 | |
| 2017-06-01 | 2017-06-30 | $22.69 | $24.11 | 5.58% | 22 | |
| 2017-05-17 | 2017-05-18 | $20.41 | $20.87 | -3.63% | 2 |