PriceMomentum_V0591
REJECTEDhybridllm1) Added volatility gates to entries (require vol_20 < 0.06 or < 0.08) to avoid entering in extreme/high-volatility environments. 2) Tightened volume threshold to rel_volume >1.2 and slightly tightened sma_200_slope to > -0.0015 to prefer healthier uptrends. 3) Raised cumret_252d floor to -0.149 to avoid entering during large-year-to-date drawdowns. 4) Improved exits: added close < sma_50 cross and a drawdown cut (drawdown < -0.12) in addition to ret_20d < -0.03 to reduce deep drawdowns and provide clearer trend exits. 5) Restricted regime gates to UPTREND and low/medium volatility, and excluded EXTREME bubble, to improve robustness and generalization. 6) Reduced base_position to 0.85 to lower portfolio risk/exposure. | rejected: stage1: never enters a position
Lineage
entry = PriceMomentum_V0264 OR LongTermTrend_V0208
Strategy Logic (pseudocode)
# PriceMomentum_V0591 [hybrid]
require regime.trend in ['UPTREND']
require regime.volatility in ['LOW_VOLATILITY', 'MEDIUM_VOLATILITY']
require regime.bubble in ['NORMAL', 'EXPENSIVE']
if flat and ((ret_20d > 0.05 and rel_volume > 1.2 and vol_20 < 0.06) or (((close > sma_200 and sma_200_slope > -0.0015) or ret_20d > 0.085) and ret_20d > 0.05 and cumret_252d > -0.149 and vol_20 < 0.08)):
position = 0.85
if long and (ret_20d < -0.03 or close < sma_50 or drawdown < -0.12):
position = 0.0 # exit to cashBacktest Metrics
| Metric | Train | Validation | Hidden Test | Full |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAGR | — | — | — | — |
| Total Return | — | — | — | — |
| Sharpe | — | — | — | — |
| Sortino | — | — | — | — |
| Calmar | — | — | — | — |
| Volatility | — | — | — | — |
| Max DD | — | — | — | — |
| Win Rate | — | — | — | — |
| Avg Win | — | — | — | — |
| Avg Loss | — | — | — | — |
| Payoff | — | — | — | — |
| Expectancy | — | — | — | — |
| Profit Factor | — | — | — | — |
| Trades | — | — | — | — |
| Avg Holding Days | — | — | — | — |
| Turnover | — | — | — | — |
| Exposure | — | — | — | — |
Walk-Forward Years
| Year | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Trades |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No walk-forward results | ||||
A robust strategy performs acceptably in most years rather than spectacularly in one — look for consistency across regimes, not a single outlier year.
Regime Performance
| Period | Regime | Days | Ann. Return | Sharpe | Exposure |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No regime results | |||||
Trades (full period)
| Entry | Exit | Entry Px | Exit Px | Return | Days | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No trades recorded | ||||||